The Trade – Episode #22 with Brett and Mike | May Aluminum Edition

In this May aluminum episode of The Trade, hosts Brett and Mike discuss how geopolitical conflicts and supply chain disruptions, specifically the bottleneck in the Strait of Hormuz and damage to Middle Eastern smelters, have created a global deficit in the primary aluminum market. They also examine the impact of rising energy and freight costs on scrap pricing, while offering practical advice for recyclers on managing cash flow and navigating the current volatility. Produced by Recycled Media.

Transcription

**A Scrap Life: Navigating the Aluminum Industry**

**Host: Brett Echart**

*Welcome to A Scrap Life, a podcast solely focused on the hustlers, grinders, operators, and business owners who live and breathe the scrap metal industry every day.*

**Brett Echart:**

What’s going on everybody? I’m back with Michael Anderson once again. It’s been a few months since we’ve been able to sit down and chat about aluminum. What a wild few months it has been, so we’ve got a few things to discuss. As always, I appreciate you taking the time to share your insight with us.

**Michael Anderson:**

Yeah, my pleasure. We took a couple of months and it feels like it’s been a couple of years with the amount of news and changes in the marketplace. It kind of all started back when the Iran conflict began, and the Strait of Hormuz got bottlenecked. Everyone was focusing on the amount of oil that comes out of the strait, right? But what a lot of folks don’t know is that about 10% of the world’s primary aluminum goes through the same channel.

**Brett Echart:**

Would that be the bauxite, or is bauxite an additive for those of us who deal with old sheet and irrigation pipe? Can you explain why the Strait of Hormuz being bottlenecked impacts the aluminum market?

**Michael Anderson:**

Yeah, aluminum bauxite is the primary raw ingredient that goes into making primary aluminum. It’s mined, then refined into aluminum. The reason so many aluminum smelters are in that region is because it’s energy-rich, just like the oil. Ocean freight is usually the cheapest way to move material, so aluminum products have been flowing through the Strait of Hormuz for decades. But recently, ships couldn’t pass back and forth, so any aluminum-based products had to find new routes, increasing costs. When the strait shut down, aluminum prices jumped because the world was already in a tight market from a supply-demand perspective.

**Brett Echart:**

Was this due to tariffs and trade issues?

**Michael Anderson:**

Over recent years, many aluminum smelters went offline because they weren’t energy efficient. At the same time, aluminum usage increased in sectors like automotive and aerospace. These two factors put us in a tight situation. Then, with the Strait of Hormuz shutting down, that changed the supply-demand balance, so prices shot up.

**Brett Echart:**

What about the impact of AI infrastructure on aluminum demand?

**Michael Anderson:**

Aluminum is consumed significantly in heat sinks and framing due to its excellent electricity and heat conduction. AI infrastructure demands a lot of energy just like aluminum smelting. Both compete for energy, contributing to high aluminum prices. Until energy supply increases, aluminum will likely remain expensive.

**Brett Echart:**

Great insight. As we conclude, what are you anticipating moving forward?

**Michael Anderson:**

I think the current levels are here to stay for at least five to six months. We’re in an aluminum deficit, and even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, significant impacts will remain due to the bombing damage. I’m a bit bullish; there could be some upside over time.

**Brett Echart:**

Michael, I appreciate your time and insights. I hope our listeners benefit from this discussion.

**Michael Anderson:**

Thanks, Brett. It’s always a pleasure. Looking forward to seeing how things unfold.

**Brett Echart:**

We’ll catch up again soon. Thanks, everyone, for tuning in.